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Abdülkadir ERKAHRAMAN
 

Erdoğan's victory: They won't accept it, but they suffered a heavy defeat

Whether the elections end in the first round or go to the second round, we must declare the victory of Erdoğan and the People's Alliance. We will discuss the answer to the question "Victory in what?" in the coming days. However, it is necessary to emphasize the following points immediately:   The opposition suffered a heavy defeat. The political engineering developed through the seven-person table clearly failed. The polls that clearly showed Kılıçdaroğlu winning by a wide margin were proven to be inflated and manipulated. Efforts conducted on social media through troll networks and bot accounts did not resonate with the public.   Moreover, the six-party leaders who came together against Erdoğan and the mayors of Istanbul and Ankara failed to convince the citizens. The Turkish people did not grant approval to the seven vice presidents project. The opposition, supported by the PKK and FETÖ, reflected the issue of survival and security for Türkiye in the ballot box. Those who assassinated Muharrem İnce's reputation for 45 days and plotted against him lost. Muharrem İnce proved to be right, and Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu lost in the first round. It was confirmed that Temel Karamollaoğlu, Ahmet Davutoğlu, and Ali Babacan's parties did not contribute anything to the CHP, from which they removed their party labels and left. It became evident that the leaders who sought refuge in the CHP were unable to convince conservative voters to vote for Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu.   The representation of the Felicity Party came to an end, and the National View politics found its expression in the Welfare Party. The "popularity" constructed through perception by Ekrem İmamoğlu and Mansur Yavaş did not resonate in Anatolia, and their interactions on social media did not translate into the field. Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu's strategy of uniting and bringing together all extremes ended in failure, despite the presence of the Good Party. The thesis of the HDP, stating that they will determine the country's president and implement their policies, collapsed, and the notion of being the "key party" dissipated.   Although President Erdoğan received a razor-thin margin in the first round, surpassing Kılıçdaroğlu by 5 percent is a clear victory. In the parliament, the People's Alliance achieved a clear lead. The number of deputies from the AK Party, MHP, and Yeniden Refah exceeded 300, while surpassing the CHP, İYİ Party, Saadet, DEVA, Demokrat, and Gelecek parties by a large margin. Although the votes for the AK Party declined, the People's Alliance maintained 50 percent. So, what will happen now? All eyes are on the overseas votes, especially the results coming from Germany. Erdoğan may win with 50.02 percent and could also make it to the second round. However, the majority in Parliament belongs to the People's Alliance. If the elections go to the second round, Erdoğan will have this power behind him as well. Sinan Oğan's 5 percent of the vote disrupted calculations. Former MHP member Oğan is now a political figure with influence over the youth.It is not clear with whom the negotiation will take place, but it is known from public opinion polls that the voter base consists of MHP and nationalists. Oğan's responsibility consciousness, as well as the attitude of the Cumhur İttifakı base, will be decisive in determining Erdoğan's fate in the first round, given the narrow margin. The voters demonstrated their preference for stability by giving the majority to the Cumhur İttifakı. If the presidential elections go to the second round, this choice will also determine the outcome of those elections. If Erdoğan wins in the first round, even by a small margin, he will declare victory with a five-point lead. It is necessary to discuss the operation that was intended to be presented to the public while the CHP's votes were considered to be at 20 percent. However, this column has come to an end. First, let the results become clear, and then we will discuss why they did not accept the defeat.
Ekleme Tarihi: 16 Mayıs 2023 - Salı

Erdoğan's victory: They won't accept it, but they suffered a heavy defeat

Whether the elections end in the first round or go to the second round, we must declare the victory of Erdoğan and the People's Alliance. We will discuss the answer to the question "Victory in what?" in the coming days. However, it is necessary to emphasize the following points immediately:

 

The opposition suffered a heavy defeat.

The political engineering developed through the seven-person table clearly failed.

The polls that clearly showed Kılıçdaroğlu winning by a wide margin were proven to be inflated and manipulated.

Efforts conducted on social media through troll networks and bot accounts did not resonate with the public.

 

Moreover, the six-party leaders who came together against Erdoğan and the mayors of Istanbul and Ankara failed to convince the citizens.

The Turkish people did not grant approval to the seven vice presidents project.

The opposition, supported by the PKK and FETÖ, reflected the issue of survival and security for Türkiye in the ballot box.

Those who assassinated Muharrem İnce's reputation for 45 days and plotted against him lost.

Muharrem İnce proved to be right, and Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu lost in the first round.

It was confirmed that Temel Karamollaoğlu, Ahmet Davutoğlu, and Ali Babacan's parties did not contribute anything to the CHP, from which they removed their party labels and left. It became evident that the leaders who sought refuge in the CHP were unable to convince conservative voters to vote for Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu.

 

The representation of the Felicity Party came to an end, and the National View politics found its expression in the Welfare Party.

The "popularity" constructed through perception by Ekrem İmamoğlu and Mansur Yavaş did not resonate in Anatolia, and their interactions on social media did not translate into the field.

Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu's strategy of uniting and bringing together all extremes ended in failure, despite the presence of the Good Party.

The thesis of the HDP, stating that they will determine the country's president and implement their policies, collapsed, and the notion of being the "key party" dissipated.

 

Although President Erdoğan received a razor-thin margin in the first round, surpassing Kılıçdaroğlu by 5 percent is a clear victory.

In the parliament, the People's Alliance achieved a clear lead. The number of deputies from the AK Party, MHP, and Yeniden Refah exceeded 300, while surpassing the CHP, İYİ Party, Saadet, DEVA, Demokrat, and Gelecek parties by a large margin.

Although the votes for the AK Party declined, the People's Alliance maintained 50 percent.

So, what will happen now? All eyes are on the overseas votes, especially the results coming from Germany. Erdoğan may win with 50.02 percent and could also make it to the second round. However, the majority in Parliament belongs to the People's Alliance. If the elections go to the second round, Erdoğan will have this power behind him as well.

Sinan Oğan's 5 percent of the vote disrupted calculations. Former MHP member Oğan is now a political figure with influence over the youth.It is not clear with whom the negotiation will take place, but it is known from public opinion polls that the voter base consists of MHP and nationalists. Oğan's responsibility consciousness, as well as the attitude of the Cumhur İttifakı base, will be decisive in determining Erdoğan's fate in the first round, given the narrow margin.

The voters demonstrated their preference for stability by giving the majority to the Cumhur İttifakı. If the presidential elections go to the second round, this choice will also determine the outcome of those elections. If Erdoğan wins in the first round, even by a small margin, he will declare victory with a five-point lead. It is necessary to discuss the operation that was intended to be presented to the public while the CHP's votes were considered to be at 20 percent. However, this column has come to an end. First, let the results become clear, and then we will discuss why they did not accept the defeat.

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